Wishing To Be Wrong But Preparing To Be Right

I hope to be wrong
about climate change
and about COVID.

Being wrong
is the best case scenario
and f*ck,
I want that best case scenario
to happen
so f*ckin’ bad.

But I’m preparing
to be right.

I’m preparing for food shortages.
I’m preparing for mass disability.
I’m preparing for floods.
I’m preparing not to have
the ability to write books
or expend a lot of energy
running the business.

If I’m wrong,
and I hope
I WILL be wrong,
I’ll have extra food.
I’ll have extra funds.
I’ll have a business
that almost runs itself.

There’s no significant downside
to preparing.
But there is a significant downside
to not preparing.

Hope to be wrong
regarding the dire predictions
but prepare to be right.

Climate Change And Business Building

COP27 has ended
and the best case scenario
for the planet’s climate
has quietly shifted
from 1.5C of warming
to about 2.4C.

This has an impact
on those of us
who are building businesses.

Coral reefs were dead
at 1.5C, for example.
2.4C means they will be dead
sooner.
As in, within the decade,
sooner.

If your business is located
close to reefs,
losing those reefs will impact
your foot traffic.

You might wish
to find alternative sources
of prospective customers.

Glaciers will also shrink
and/or disappear.
As will the polar ice caps.

There will be more natural disasters,
more drought,
more water and food shortages,
and all this will happen sooner.

Insurance coverage
for our businesses
will become more and more key.

As will ensuring
we have supplies.
If we can buy supplies
in advance,
we should likely
factor the cost of doing that
into our start up expenses.

Climate change WILL
change the way we do business.
We should plan for that.

Subscription Models And Supply

I love the concept
of Amazon’s Subscribe And Save
service.

We sign up to buy
often used products
and they are sent to us
monthly.
We don’t have to think
about buying these items.
We set it up once
and can forget about it.

Except Amazon
rarely has the items
in stock.

50% of my monthly order
isn’t available
this month.

Last month, 30%
of my regular monthly order
wasn’t available.
Those unavailable products
were different
than the products
unavailable this month.

I have to rush to find
and buy alternatives to them.
And that’s d*mn irritating.

It is easier
and more reliable
to simply buy
multiples of the items
we need
once
and store them
in our homes.

Don’t offer a subscription service
of products/services
unless you can secure
their supply.