I’ve witnessed
many system breakdowns
of various kinds.
I’ve studied
thousands more system breakdowns.
I’ve never encountered
one that was linear.
Linear system breakdowns
are only seen on models.
It is d@mn difficult
to model
cascading system breakdowns.
It is nearly impossible,
at this point of time,
to show how a failure
in one part
of the system
will cause multiple failures
in other parts
of the system
and how these failures
will compound
until the entire system
collapses.
Most models don’t have
the complexity
to reflect that reality.
So we model linear
which is easy to do
and easy for people
to understand.
But that’s not reality.
Collapse will be faster,
more complex,
impacting more of
the system.
Remember that
when we see modeling
for pandemics,
climate change,
economics.
Linear models
are best case scenarios
and they aren’t reality.
System breakdowns
cascade.