One of my roles
on New Business Development teams
was to predict the future,
especially the financial future
of projects.
I would preface
every discussion
with the first rule
of predicting the future
– Any prediction of the future
will be wrong.
Being right is impossible
and it usually isn’t the point.
Sure, we all knew
we were due for a pandemic
but we didn’t know
it would start in 2019.
That hit almost everyone’s forecasts
by surprise.
Being prepared
and having a game plan
are two main reasons
to try to predict the future.
Once the pandemic happened,
original forecasts were amended.
Maybe the disaster plan
was implemented.
Predictions were changed.
In writing,
it is known that
a second draft is much easier
and faster to craft
than a first draft.
Because it is MUCH easier
to correct something
than create something.
The existence of
the first forecast of the future
makes it easier
for others to make adjustments to it.
Craft that prediction of the future.
Know it will be wrong.
Amend it as you gain more insights.